房地产智库www.fdc01.com破八定调以价换量——2012年两会后房地产市场研判2012年3月房地产智库www.fdc01.com目录?2012年2月房地产市场分析?两会后房地产市场走势研判房地产智库www.fdc01.com2012年2月房地产市场分析3房地产智库www.fdc01.com2012年2月房地产市场分析一、春节后各地楼市成交普遍有所回暖，周度成交持续攀升二、存款准备金率下调，流动性有所好转，对首置的信贷支持增加;多地房地产政策微调放松，一定程度改善了购房者的市场预期三、开发商降价促销升级，刺激客户入市，特别是刚需买家;各地限购后成交量大幅萎缩，累积一年的购买力集中释放房地产智库www.fdc01.com春节后，各地楼市人气和成交量出现较明显回升?春节后，各地楼市成交量持续攀升，3月第一周的成交量比2月第一周增长200%?近期的周度成交量已达到去年下半年的平均水平，高于去年国庆后的成交量水平重点城市：上海、广州、深圳、天津、沈阳、济南、长沙、成都、贵阳、昆明、佛山、东莞、中山房地产智库www.fdc01.com周度成交：一线城市成交量回升明显广州：成交量低位回升，达2011年下半年高位水平深圳：成交量回升明显，达2011年下半年高位水平广州商品住宅周度成交面积万㎡深圳商品住宅周度成交面积万㎡12161410128108664422003.43.4-6.051.081.016.126.196.267.037.107.177.247.318.078.148.218.289.049.119.189.2510.91.151.292.052.122.192.26-6.051.08--1.016.126.196.267.037.107.177.247.318.078.148.218.289.049.119.189.2510.91.151.292.052.122.192.26--------------------------10.1610.2310.3011.0611.1311.2011.2712.0412.1112.1812.25-10.02----------------------------------10.1610.2310.3011.0611.1311.2011.2712.0412.1112.1812.25-10.02------------2.275.301.022.276.066.136.206.277.047.117.187.258.018.088.158.228.299.059.129.1910.31.091.161.302.062.132.205.301.026.066.136.206.277.047.117.187.258.018.088.158.228.299.059.129.1910.31.091.161.302.062.132.209.2612.26年年9.2612.2610.3111.0711.1411.2111.2812.0512.1212.1910.1010.1710.24年年10.1010.1710.2410.3111.0711.1411.2111.2812.0512.1212.192011201220112012上海：成交量持续回升，达2011年下半年高位水平北京：成交量低位回升上海商品住宅周度成交面积走势图万㎡万㎡北京商品住宅周度成交面积走势图254035203015252010151055003.4-6.051.081.016.126.196.267.037.107.177.247.318.078.148.218.289.049.119.189.2510.91.151.292.052.122.192.26--------------------------10.1610.2310.3011.0611.1311.2011.2712.0412.1112.1812.2510.02------------2.275.301.026.066.136.206.277.047.117.187.258.018.088.158.228.299.059.129.1910.31.091.161.302.062.132.209.2612.26年年10.1010.1710.2410.3111.0711.1411.2111.2812.0512.1212.1920112012房地产智库www.fdc01.com周度成交：珠三角成交回升，佛山、中山较突出佛山：成交量明显回升，近两周成交量远超东莞：成交量回升，但仍低于2011年下半年水平去年下半年平均水平东莞商品住宅周度成交面积走势图佛山商品住宅周度成交面积走势图万㎡万㎡252520201515101055003.4-1.016.051.083.47.037.107.177.247.318.078.148.218.289.049.111.151.292.052.122.192.266.126.196.269.189.2510.9---------------------------1.0110.1610.2310.3011.0611.1311.2011.2712.0412.1112.1812.256.051.0810.026.126.196.267.037.107.177.247.318.078.148.218.289.049.119.189.2510.91.151.292.052.122.192.26--------------------------------------10.1610.2310.3011.0611.1311.2011.2712.0412.1112.1812.2510.02------------2.275.301.026.066.136.206.277.047.117.187.258.018.088.158.228.299.059.129.1910.31.091.161.302.062.132.202.275.301.0212.269.266.066.136.206.277.047.117.187.258.018.088.158.228.299.059.129.1910.31.091.161.302.062.132.20年年10.1010.1710.2410.3111.0711.1411.2111.2812.0512.1212.199.2612.26年年10.1010.1710.2410.3111.0711.1411.2111.2812.0512.1212.192011201220112012：成交量回升，但仍低于2011年下半年水平中山：成交回升较明显，达2011年下半年水平珠海珠海商品住宅周度成交面积走势图万㎡中山商品住宅周度成交面积走势图万㎡20315221015100…3.4--6.051.081.016.126.196.267.037.107.177.247.318.078.148.218.289.049.119.189.2510.91.151.292.052.122.192.26--------------------------10.1610.2310.3011.0611.1311.2011.2712.0412.1112.1812.2510.023.4-------------1.017.318.078.148.218.289.049.119.189.2510.91.151.292.052.122.192.26-1.02----------------10.1610.2310.3011.0611.1311.2011.2712.0412.1112.1812.2510.022.275.301.02------------6.066.136.206.277.047.117.187.258.018.088.158.228.299.059.129.1910.31.091.161.302.062.132.20年9.2612.26年年2.2710.1010.1710.2410.3111.0711.1411.2111.2812.0512.1212.197.258.018.088.158.228.299.059.129.1910.31.091.161.302.062.132.209.2612.2610.1010.1710.2410.3111.0711.1412.0512.1212.1911.2111.28201220112012房地产智库www.fdc01.com周度成交：合肥、长沙成交量回升幅度较大天津：成交量低位回升，仍低于2011年下半年水平济南：成交量低位回升，但仍低于2011年下半年水平天津商品住宅周度成交面积走势图万㎡济南商品住宅周度成交面积万㎡1230102582015610452003.4-6.051.081.016.126.196.267.037.1010.97.177.247.318.078.148.218.289.049.119.189.251.151.292.052.122.192.26--------------------------3.410.1610.2310.3011.0611.1311.2011.2712.0412.1112.1812.2510.02-6.051.08-----------1.01-6.126.196.267.037.107.177.247.318.078.148.218.289.049.119.189.2510.91.151.292.052.122.192.26-----------------------