目录一、宏观经济政策环境....................................................................................................................31.1宏观经济环境概述.......................................................................................................................31.1.1国际经济环境——欧美经济出现分化.......................................31.1.2中国经济环境——投资拉动作用暂令全年经济企稳，但长期带动作用不可取......41.1.3明年政策走向：稳货币、宽财政...........................................51.2政策环境.......................................................................................................................................61.2.1行业政策：坚守“控房价”目标始终如一...................................61.2.2地方政策：鼓励刚性需求入市，紧抓“救市最后一根槄草”...................81.2.3明年楼市政策预判：放松机会不大，新政仍是“达摩克利斯之剑”............101.3.佛山经济政策环境....................................................................................................................101.3.1佛山经济：陷入内外需求不足，各项指标处于五年来最低水平................101.3.2佛山政策环境：三旧改造优惠延续........................................12二、佛山重点规划及市政建设.......................................................................................................132.1产业改造与升级.........................................................................................................................132.2片区规划与改造........................................................................................................................162.3交通物流建设.............................................................................................................................22三、土地市场..................................................................................................................................283.1土地成交大增，为未来楼市提振信心.....................................................................................283.2商住地块成新宠，城市综合体模式盛行.................................................................................293.3溢价率回调，土地市场良性竞争.............................................................................................313.4规模地块预告区域发展重心.....................................................................................................323.5品牌发展商加速扩张，本土企业稳步发展，竞争越趋激烈.................................................333.6土地市场对未来1-2年楼市的影响.........................................................................................35四、住宅市场..................................................................................................................................364.1大佛山市场运行态势：市场回暖，房价现反弹苗头.............................................................364.1.1大佛山市场运行情况....................................................364.1.2五区市场运行情况......................................................394.1.3大佛山市场产品结构分析................................................404.1.4大佛山全年推售分析....................................................414.1.5大佛山2013年推货预测.................................................454.2五区市场运行态势分析.............................................................................................................454.2.1禅城：刚需领跑，“量升价跌”...........................................454.2.2南海：巨头牵头降价，成交“量稳价跌”..................................614.2.3顺德：市场热点向新城板块转移..........................................744.2.4高明：新城发力，市场供求平稳过渡......................................924.2.5三水：“量价齐跌”，市场信心遭遇低位....................................994.3佛山别墅市场运行情况...........................................................................................................1094.3.1佛山别墅市场供求走势.................................................1094.3.2产品结构分析.........................................................1114.3.3项目成交一览.........................................................1124.3.5市场预判.............................................................115五、市场预判................................................................................................................................117六、商业地产................................................................................................................................1186.1大佛山商用物业供求情况.....................................................